Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.002294 0.002428 0.002571 0.002735 0.002919 0.003120 0.003358
2025-02-02 0.002092 0.002279 0.002488 0.002742 0.003049 0.003412 0.003884
2025-02-09 0.001990 0.002214 0.002477 0.002814 0.003244 0.003792 0.004573
2025-02-16 0.001886 0.002132 0.002429 0.002823 0.003353 0.004069 0.005180
2025-02-23 0.001838 0.002109 0.002446 0.002912 0.003567 0.004517 0.006140
2025-03-02 0.001749 0.002026 0.002377 0.002873 0.003597 0.004696 0.006722
2025-03-09 0.001661 0.001937 0.002292 0.002805 0.003571 0.004779 0.007154
2025-03-16 0.001628 0.001917 0.002296 0.002858 0.003730 0.005188 0.008363
2025-03-23 0.001595 0.001895 0.002294 0.002900 0.003877 0.005603 0.009799
2025-03-30 0.001543 0.001842 0.002246 0.002869 0.003898 0.005790 0.010786
2025-04-06 0.001479 0.001772 0.002170 0.002789 0.003826 0.005780 0.011229
2025-04-13 0.001436 0.001729 0.002129 0.002760 0.003838 0.005944 0.012316
2025-04-20 0.001352 0.001626 0.002003 0.002596 0.003609 0.005585 0.011553
2025-04-27 0.001325 0.001604 0.001991 0.002613 0.003707 0.005959 0.013739
2025-05-04 0.001314 0.001603 0.002011 0.002681 0.003909 0.006627 0.018271
2025-05-11 0.001289 0.001580 0.001996 0.002691 0.004000 0.007061 0.022880
2025-05-18 0.001283 0.001585 0.002022 0.002772 0.004245 0.008007 0.036422
2025-05-25 0.001249 0.001548 0.001983 0.002737 0.004243 0.008241 0.045454
2025-06-01 0.001211 0.001503 0.001930 0.002674 0.004175 0.008244 0.051745
2025-06-08 0.001201 0.001499 0.001940 0.002723 0.004358 0.009165 0.115039
2025-06-15 0.001189 0.001491 0.001944 0.002762 0.004526 0.010152 1.038662
2025-06-22 0.001164 0.001463 0.001914 0.002733 0.004531 0.010502 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001130 0.001421 0.001860 0.002660 0.004418 0.010300 NaN